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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 18 September 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 18 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Guingamp vs Ajaccio at 49% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
4 : 1 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
4 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Cittadella
Win 24%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 60%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 1 FT
Uthai Thani
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
5 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
4 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 3 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
2 : 4 FT
Girona
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
2 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
3 : 2 FT
Atlético Ottawa
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
0 : 3 FT
Torino
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 18 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Guingamp vs Ajaccio at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.