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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 28 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 28 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to AFC Eskilstuna vs Skövde AIK at 51% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
3 : 0 FT
Skövde AIK
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
0 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Ruch Chorzów
2 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
3 : 1 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
0 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 2 FT
Polessya
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 2 FT
Nublense
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
5 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
Anderlecht
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
1 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 28 July 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Eskilstuna vs Skövde AIK at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.