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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 29 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 29 July 2023. Fluminense vs Santos led the list at 57% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Fluminense Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
1 : 2 FT
Cuiaba
Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 5 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 18%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
3 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 3 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
3 : 1 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
2 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 5 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
2 : 0 FT
Vancouver FC
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
#12 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
2 : 1 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
0 : 3 FT
Pacific FC
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
2 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
4 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
0 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
3 : 3 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
1 : 2 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 29 July 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Santos at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.