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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 30 July 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 July 2023. Vasteras SK FK vs Gefle IF sits top on 59% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
1 : 0 FT
Gefle IF
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
4 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 61% Botafogo Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
2 : 0 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ KuPS Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 2 FT
Chornomorets
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
3 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 4 FT
Palmeiras
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
2 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
4 : 1 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Magallanes
2 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
2 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#19 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 30 July 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vasteras SK FK vs Gefle IF at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.