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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 12 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 March 2023. Genoa vs Ternana sits top on 60% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Ternana
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 27%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Genoa Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
2 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 10%
Draw 30%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61% OFI Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 2 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 23%
Draw 44%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 40%
βœ“ Draw 40%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 64%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
2 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 19%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
0 : 0 FT
Southampton
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
3 : 4 FT
Sassuolo
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
0 : 3 FT
Benfica
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
1 : 0 FT
Spal
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
1 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 39%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lampang FC
1 : 3 FT
Port FC
Win 20%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 4 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 12 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Ternana at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.