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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 10 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to FC Porto vs Estoril at 56% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 2 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
BTTS No 62% FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 68%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
2 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
4 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#8 Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
0 : 4 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 3 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
4 : 1 FT
Ascoli
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#13 League Two · England
Crewe
4 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 2 FT
Telstar
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Championship · England
Stoke City
3 : 2 FT
Blackburn
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Spezia
2 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 57%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
4 : 0 FT
Miedz Legnica
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
1 : 0 FT
Deinze
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 10 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Porto vs Estoril at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.