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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 14 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 14 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Wigan vs Coventry at 55% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 65% Coventry Clean Sheet 55%
#2 League Two · England
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 League Two · England
Northampton
1 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 League One · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 23%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 League Two · England
Sutton Utd
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#6 League One · England
Morecambe
1 : 4 FT
Charlton
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#7 Championship · England
Blackpool
6 : 1 FT
QPR
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#8 League Two · England
Newport County
1 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#9 League Two · England
Walsall
0 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#11 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 League One · England
Accrington ST
1 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60%
#13 League One · England
Burton Albion
2 : 5 FT
Peterborough
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 60%
#14 Championship · England
Rotherham
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
#15 Championship · England
Watford
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 16 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 14 March 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wigan vs Coventry at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.