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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 13 March 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 13 March 2023. Famalicao vs Casa Pia led the list at 55% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Famalicao Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Metz
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 27%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 68%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 1 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 6 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 37%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 1 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
3 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
Win 23%
Draw 20%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 14 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 13 March 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Famalicao vs Casa Pia at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.