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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 24 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 February 2023. Frosinone vs Parma led the list at 54% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
3 : 4 FT
Parma
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 62% Frosinone Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
2 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
2 : 3 FT
Real Betis
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
2 : 1 FT
Perugia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
7 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
1 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 32%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
1 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 24 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Parma at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.