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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 27 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 27 February 2023. Sporting CP vs Estoril led the list at 54% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 23%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Sporting CP Clean Sheet 54%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 1 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#5 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 1 FT
Miedz Legnica
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
3 : 3 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Copiapo
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 1 FT
SC Braga
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Everton de Vina
3 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
3 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 27 February 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Estoril at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.