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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 18 February 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 18 February 2023. Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town led the list at 56% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 56%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
4 : 2 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 69% Mallorca Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
1 : 0 FT
Niort
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 48%
Draw 36%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#7 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
5 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 56%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
0 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 4 FT
Standard Liege
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
BTTS No 55%
#10 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
3 : 1 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
#11 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 2 FT
Hartlepool
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
0 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 League One Β· England
Ipswich
4 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#15 League One Β· England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
0 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Championship Β· England
Millwall
3 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#20 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 18 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.