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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 5 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 5 October 2022. Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC led the list at 54% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#3 Championship · England
Rotherham
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
BTTS No 53%
#4 Championship · England
Preston
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Championship · England
Hull City
2 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 53%
#6 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
0 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#8 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
0 : 0 FT
Haka
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
2 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
1 : 1 FT
Goias
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#11 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
3 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#13 Super League · China
Wuhan Zall
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Championship · England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Championship · England
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 30%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 16 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 5 October 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Changchun Yatai vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.