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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 7 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 7 October 2022. Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport sits top on 49% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 69%
#2 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
✓ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0 FT
Inhulets
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#5 Championship · England
QPR
2 : 1 FT
Reading
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 15%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 64%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
0 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RSC Anderlecht II
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#16 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
4 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Cagliari
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 7 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.