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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 11 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 11 May 2022. AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF sits top on 57% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 38%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 76% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Leeds
0 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 8%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 79%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
1 : 5 FT
Manchester City
Win 14%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
BTTS No 56%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
4 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
3 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
2 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
0 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
0 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 21%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 53%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#17 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
3 : 1 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
1 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
5 : 0 FT
Al-Jazira
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 11 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AIK Stockholm vs Malmo FF at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.