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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 8 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 8 May 2022. Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart led the list at 52% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
2 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
BTTS No 57%
#2 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Slovácko
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
3 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Ligue 1 · France
Metz
3 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 1 FT
Goias
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
4 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
1 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
✓ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 Premier League · England
Leicester
1 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
0 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#18 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 27%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
4 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 8 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.