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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 24 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Liverpool vs Everton at 56% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Liverpool Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 2 FT
Coritiba
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Belenenses
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
3 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 0 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
5 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
3 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 14%
Draw 21%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 28%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
1 : 6 FT
Valour
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
2 : 2 FT
Southampton
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
0 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 24 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Everton at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.