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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 5 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Tuesday 5 April 2022. Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe sits top on 53% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 34%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61%
#2 League One Β· England
Wigan
3 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 24%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#4 Championship Β· England
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
QPR
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
2 : 1 FT
Alessandria
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
#7 Championship Β· England
Peterborough
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
#8 League One Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#11 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
0 : 3 FT
Benevento
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 4 FT
Lecce
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Pordenone
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 27%
Draw 35%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#15 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
1 : 4 FT
Wycombe
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#17 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
4 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#18 Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
0 : 0 FT
Palestino
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Spal
2 : 2 FT
Cosenza
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
3 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 5 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Milton Keynes Dons vs Crewe at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.