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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 8 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 8 April 2022. Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers led the list at 58% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 11%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 62%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 65% Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
4 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
Moreirense
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
6 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
0 : 5 FT
VPS
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
4 : 2 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
2 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 4 FT
Telstar
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#18 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 8 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.