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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 15 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 15 January 2022. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum sits top on 51% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Apollon Smirnis
0 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 2 FT
Suphanburi
Win 27%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#4 League One Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 3 FT
Burton Albion
Win 26%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#5 League One Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 14%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
2 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#7 Championship Β· England
Cardiff
0 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 63%
#9 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#10 Championship Β· England
QPR
1 : 0 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggina
0 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#13 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
2 : 0 FT
Rochdale
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
1 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#15 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 0 FT
Port FC
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#19 League Two Β· England
Colchester
0 : 2 FT
Barrow
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 15 January 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.