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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 28 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 28 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Granada CF vs Getafe at 49% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
3 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
0 : 2 FT
Reggina
Win 36%
Draw 37%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
3 : 0 FT
Bologna
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
0 : 1 FT
Spal
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
3 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 61%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
3 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 1 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone
0 : 2 FT
Benevento
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
2 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 28 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Granada CF vs Getafe at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.