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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 27 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 27 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona at 49% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Veikkausliiga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Barcelona
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
2 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
1 : 0 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 70%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
Ceara
Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Vicenza Virtus
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
2 : 0 FT
Fluminense
Win 27%
Draw 36%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
0 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
2 : 4 FT
Haka
Win 25%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Honka
6 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
3 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
3 : 1 FT
Ternana
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
5 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 3 FT
Lahti
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
2 : 0 FT
ODD Ballklubb
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 56%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
4 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 27 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.