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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 30 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk at 56% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
0 : 2 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 16%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 56%
#2 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
5 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
✓ Win 50%
Draw 35%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangmai United
1 : 3 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 17%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65%
#4 Premier League · England
Burnley
3 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 65%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two · England
Newport County
5 : 0 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Championship · England
Swansea
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
2 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#9 League One · England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%
#10 Championship · England
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 37%
Draw 38%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
#11 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
3 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
✓ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
4 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
✓ Win 51%
Draw 32%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 4 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#15 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
Win 27%
Draw 41%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#16 League Two · England
Oldham
1 : 3 FT
Swindon Town
Win 12%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 61%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
3 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#18 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
1 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 13%
Draw 30%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Championship · England
Middlesbrough
0 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
3 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 30 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Warta Poznań vs Lechia Gdansk at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.