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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 26 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Tuesday 26 October 2021. Espanyol vs Athletic Club sits top on 51% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 39%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#2 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 3 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 22%
Draw 38%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
2 : 0 FT
Gremio
Win 36%
Draw 38%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Elche
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
2 : 3 FT
O'Higgins
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
3 : 3 FT
Cadiz
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Sport Recife
✓ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
1 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Torino
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Curico Unido
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
4 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 League One · England
Doncaster
1 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Genoa
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 15 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 26 October 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Espanyol vs Athletic Club at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.