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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 23 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 23 October 2021. Coventry vs Derby sits top on 62% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 47%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 58%
Draw 30%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 71% Coventry Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Premier League · England
Chelsea
7 : 0 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Chelsea Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
1 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 21%
Draw 38%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 71% PAS Giannina Clean Sheet 55%
#4 League Two · England
Rochdale
3 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 20%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69% Sutton Utd Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Longford Town
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 14%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
2 : 0 FT
Nancy
✓ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Gaziantep FK Clean Sheet 53%
#8 Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
2 : 3 FT
Halmstad
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 59% BK Hacken Clean Sheet 53%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
0 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 37%
Draw 39%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 72%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
3 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Elche
2 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
#12 League Two · England
Exeter City
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
✓ Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 82% BTTS No 73%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
3 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#16 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 41%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#17 League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 1 FT
Crewe
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
2 : 2 FT
Mallorca
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
1 : 1 FT
Quevilly
Win 34%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 69%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 2 FT
Dijon
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 23 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Coventry vs Derby at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.