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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 10 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 10 September 2021. Pohang Steelers vs Daegu FC sits top on 50% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%
#2 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 33%
Draw 41%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 68%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
1 : 1 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#4 Championship · England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 2 FT
Bohemians
✓ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
2 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 19%
Draw 32%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#10 League Two · England
Barrow
2 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
7 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Deinze
3 : 1 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Benevento
0 : 0 FT
Lecce
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Inhulets
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
3 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 10 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pohang Steelers vs Daegu FC at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.