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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 28 July 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 28 July 2021. O'Higgins vs Curico Unido sits top on 52% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
2 : 2 FT
Curico Unido
Win 40%
Draw 39%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
2 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
1 : 1 FT
D. Melipilla
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
0 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 36%
Draw 35%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 55%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
2 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
1 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 4 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 0 FT
Wuhan Zall
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 2 FT
Stabaek
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
3 : 1 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 28 July 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by O'Higgins vs Curico Unido at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.