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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 30 July 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 30 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye at 48% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 37%
Draw 41%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 43%
Draw 36%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
3 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 21%
Draw 38%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 21%
Draw 38%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Arsenal Tula
0 : 3 FT
Rubin
Win 23%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou R&F
4 : 2 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 27%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 37%
Draw 39%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
3 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 3 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 3 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#12 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 1 FT
Chongqing Lifan
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 2 FT
Waterford
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 4 FT
Oostende
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Lahti
3 : 0 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 30 July 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.