Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 16 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 16 May 2021. AFC Eskilstuna vs Jonkopings Sodra led the list at 51% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
✓ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58%
#3 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
✓ Win 39%
Draw 39%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
0 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
4 : 0 FT
Brann
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
1 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
– : – CANC
Haugesund
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 3 FT
Mjondalen
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#18 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 16 May 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Eskilstuna vs Jonkopings Sodra at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.