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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 16 March 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Monday 16 March 2026. Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai led the list at 70% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 4 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 11%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Vitesse
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 4 FT
Fiorentina
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#6 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
0 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 32%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 16 March 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.