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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 25 January 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 25 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 68% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
1 : 3 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 17%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 3 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 3 FT
Rayong FC
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
3 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#7 Ligue 1 · France
Metz
2 : 5 FT
Lyon
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 57%
#8 Ligue 1 · France
Paris FC
0 : 0 FT
Angers
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
3 : 4 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 32%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 37%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#12 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
1 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 23%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
3 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59%
#14 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 36%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
4 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
✓ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#18 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#19 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KAA Gent II
1 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
1 : 4 FT
Nice
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 25 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.