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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 23 November 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 23 November 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Olympic Charleroi vs Beerschot VA at 66% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 9%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 66%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 63% Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 58%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Oviedo
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
2 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 55%
#4 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 3 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 53%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
0 : 3 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
Win 18%
Draw 33%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
4 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 32%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 3 FT
AS Roma
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 35%
Draw 21%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Fredrikstad
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 34%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 3 FT
Vitoria
Win 33%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
3 : 3 FT
Plzen
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 25%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 1 FT
Ayutthaya FC
Win 26%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
2 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
0 : 0 FT
Lyon
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 23 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs Beerschot VA at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.