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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 13 September 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 13 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Obolon'-Brovar vs Oleksandria at 64% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 15%
Draw 21%
Win 64%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 0 FT
Helsingborg
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 55%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
3 : 3 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#6 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 4 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 29%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
2 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin
1 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
3 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
0 : 0 FT
Osters IF
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
2 : 2 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 2 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
3 : 0 FT
Martigues
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#20 Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 13 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Obolon'-Brovar vs Oleksandria at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.