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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 21 November 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 November 2021. Chiangmai United vs Chiangrai United sits top on 67% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Jupiler Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 12%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 67%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
2 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#3 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
1 : 7 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 19%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 5 FT
Ajax
Win 17%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#5 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 0 FT
Genk
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
3 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
1 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 18%
Draw 32%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
1 : 4 FT
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
5 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Championship · England
Derby
3 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 18%
Draw 35%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 69% Bournemouth Clean Sheet 56%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 21%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 60%
#13 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
3 : 2 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
2 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 57%
#15 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 32%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
4 : 0 FT
Cadiz
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
0 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 34%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 44%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 27%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 24%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 21 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chiangmai United vs Chiangrai United at 67% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.