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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Tuesday 23 November 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Tuesday 23 November 2021. Cambridge United vs Wigan sits top on 63% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 31%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Cambridge United
2 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 16%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 League Two · England
Colchester
3 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 League Two · England
Crawley Town
1 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 League One · England
Ipswich
0 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 League Two · England
Carlisle
0 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 21%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two · England
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 League One · England
Morecambe
2 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 League One · England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Championship · England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 30%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#11 League One · England
Burton Albion
4 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Championship · England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 0 FT
Luton
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 League Two · England
Tranmere
2 : 1 FT
Bradford
Win 29%
Draw 37%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 61%
#14 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 League One · England
Plymouth
0 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 16 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 23 November 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambridge United vs Wigan at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.