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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 7 November 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 7 November 2021. West Ham vs Liverpool sits top on 69% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 43%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
3 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 65%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 66% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
2 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 14%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 56%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 26%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 5 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
3 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Krakow
1 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 4 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 27%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
3 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 2 FT
FC Zurich
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
1 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
0 : 0 FT
Zenit
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
2 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
0 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 7 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by West Ham vs Liverpool at 69% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.