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Win & BTTS Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest win & BTTS probability β€” Saturday 28 September 2024

Win & BTTS needs the selected side to win and both teams to score β€” a 2–1 or 3–2 counts, a 1–0 does not. Our prediction model backs whichever side has the higher figure and sums those scorelines from the joint score matrix. Only selections at 25%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 September 2024. SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Youth Island (SHANGHAI SIPG to win & BTTS) led the list at 48% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the win and BTTS market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG to win & BTTS 48%
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Premier League Β· England Liverpool to win & BTTS 37%
Wolves
1 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV to win & BTTS 36%
Hamburger SV
2 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan to win & BTTS 35%
Beijing Guoan
8 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win & BTTS 34%
Al Kholood
2 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 11%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven to win & BTTS 33%
Willem II
0 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras to win & BTTS 32%
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg to win & BTTS 31%
SC Freiburg
0 : 3 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco to win & BTTS 31%
Monaco
2 : 1 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS to win & BTTS 31%
Orgryte IS
3 : 3 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#11 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua to win & BTTS 31%
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa to win & BTTS 30%
Legia Warszawa
1 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona to win & BTTS 29%
Osasuna
4 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg to win & BTTS 29%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK to win & BTTS 29%
SJK
1 : 4 FT
VPS
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira to win & BTTS 29%
Al-Jazira
3 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#17 Premier League Β· England Arsenal to win & BTTS 29%
Arsenal
4 : 2 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray to win & BTTS 29%
Galatasaray
3 : 3 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 League Two Β· England Walsall to win & BTTS 29%
Walsall
4 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gangwon FC to win & BTTS 28%
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by win & BTTS probability (a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Win & BTTS β€” common questions

What does the Win & BTTS market mean?

Win & BTTS settles on whether a match is won by the selected side with both teams scoring. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate win and BTTS probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The win & BTTS probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the selected side wins and both teams score — 2–1, 3–1, 3–2 and so on. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Win & BTTS on Saturday 28 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Youth Island (SHANGHAI SIPG to win & BTTS) at 48% win & BTTS probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 25% or higher win & BTTS probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these win and BTTS predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.