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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 2 June 2024

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer β€” 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 2 June 2024. Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC sits top on 73% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada 73%
Pacific FC
1 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 42%
Draw 39%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland 70%
Gnistan
2 : 1 FT
Lahti
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil 69%
Criciuma
1 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 22%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden 69%
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 3 FT
Helsingborg
Win 34%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 34%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil 68%
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil 65%
Corinthians
0 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 64%
Daejeon Citizen
1 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway 63%
Stromsgodset
1 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 63%
Kalmar FF
0 : 4 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil 61%
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine 61%
Livyi Bereh
1 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile 58%
A. Italiano
1 : 2 FT
Palestino
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway 57%
KFUM Oslo
3 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 57%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 56%
Djurgardens IF
0 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada 56%
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 2 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 61%
Draw 29%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil 55%
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 6 FT
Flamengo
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 16 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Under 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 2 June 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC at 73% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.