🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 22 July 2023

Wed 19 Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24 Tue 25

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 22 July 2023. HJK Helsinki vs Ilves sits top on 74% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the under 2.5 goals market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Finland 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Serie A · Brazil 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Super League · China 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Primera División · Chile 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Superettan · Sweden 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Serie A · Brazil 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

#10

Canadian Premier League · Canada 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#11

Veikkausliiga · Finland 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%

#12

Serie A · Brazil 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#13

K League 1 · South-Korea 59%

#14

Superettan · Sweden 57%

#15

Super League · China 56%

#16

Allsvenskan · Sweden 55%

#17

Primera División · Chile 55%

Showing top 17 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 22 July 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by HJK Helsinki vs Ilves at 74% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.