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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Monday 22 May 2023

Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24 Thu 25

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 22 May 2023. AC Oulu vs Honka sits top on 68% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the under 2.5 goals market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Finland 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%

Ligue 2 · France 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Allsvenskan · Sweden 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Serie A · Italy 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 60%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 58%

#10

Superettan · Sweden 57%

#11

Premier League · Russia 57%

#12

Serie A · Italy 55%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 12 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Monday 22 May 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Oulu vs Honka at 68% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.