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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 25 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
: 19:30
FC Thun
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
: 12:35
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
: 16:00
Bohemians 1905
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.