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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Wednesday 22 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
: 18:00
Viking
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
: 11:30
Pohang Steelers
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
: 23:30
Palmeiras
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
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Showing top 5 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.