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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 23 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
: 01:30
Cruzeiro
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
: 23:30
Remo
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
: 01:30
Atletico Paranaense
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 3 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.