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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 2 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
3 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
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Showing top 11 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.