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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Sunday 3 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Primera División · Chile
Nublense
1 : 4 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#6 Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Burnley
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
2 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
1 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
0 : 1 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
3 : 2 FT
Başakşehir
✓ Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey
Bodrum FK
0 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 31%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
4 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
3 : 2 FT
AS Roma
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#19 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eliteserien · Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.