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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Monday 4 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
2 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
3 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Como
✓ Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
3 : 0 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 2 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional
2 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
#12 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Parma
0 : 1 FT
Genoa
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
4 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 57%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
1 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 18 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.