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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 2 March 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 2 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Marseille vs Nantes (Marseille over 1.5 goals) at 75% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 59%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille over 1.5 goals 75%
Marseille
2 : 0 FT
Nantes
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC over 1.5 goals 75%
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals 74%
Jagiellonia
1 : 0 FT
GKS Katowice
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 71%
Fenerbahçe
3 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 71%
Kasımpaşa
3 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 69%
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 11%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
Over 2.5 62%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 63%
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ettifaq over 1.5 goals 61%
Al-Raed
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 56%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece OFI over 1.5 goals 59%
OFI
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma over 1.5 goals 59%
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
#11 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City over 1.5 goals 59%
Chengdu Better City
1 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 57%
Montpellier
0 : 4 FT
Rennes
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Karviná over 1.5 goals 57%
Karviná
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano over 1.5 goals 57%
FC Lugano
0 : 3 FT
FC Zurich
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa over 1.5 goals 57%
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec over 1.5 goals 56%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 61% Slovan Liberec Clean Sheet 55%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain Osasuna over 1.5 goals 56%
Osasuna
3 : 3 FT
Valencia
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 2 March 2025?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Nantes (Marseille over 1.5 goals) at 75% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.