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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 17 May 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Friday 17 May 2024. Al-Nassr vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals) led the list at 71% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals 71%
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 30%
Draw 20%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK over 1.5 goals 61%
SJK
3 : 1 FT
Inter Turku
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez over 1.5 goals 61%
Rodez
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Haka over 1.5 goals 60%
Ilves
5 : 0 FT
Haka
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Championship Β· England Southampton over 1.5 goals 60%
Southampton
3 : 1 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy over 1.5 goals 59%
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Auxerre over 1.5 goals 55%
Auxerre
4 : 1 FT
Concarneau
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% Auxerre Clean Sheet 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 17 May 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Nassr vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.