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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 19 May 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 19 May 2024. Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord over 1.5 goals) sits top on 89% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 89%
Feyenoord
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 88%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 86%
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF over 1.5 goals 78%
Hammarby FF
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 77%
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 76%
Metz
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 9%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 76%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 76%
Sheffield Utd
0 : 3 FT
Tottenham
Win 17%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Premier League Β· England Chelsea over 1.5 goals 74%
Chelsea
2 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 72%
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 68%
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC over 1.5 goals 67%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Pohang Steelers over 1.5 goals 66%
Suwon City FC
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 66%
Vitesse
2 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Khon Kaen United over 1.5 goals 65%
Khon Kaen United
5 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile Nublense over 1.5 goals 62%
Nublense
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 61%
Atletico Madrid
1 : 4 FT
Osasuna
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 goals 60%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 58%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gangwon FC over 1.5 goals 58%
Gangwon FC
1 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gwangju FC over 1.5 goals 58%
Gwangju FC
0 : 3 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 57%
Almere City FC
1 : 4 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 19 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord over 1.5 goals) at 89% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.