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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 17 February 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Wrexham vs Notts County (Wrexham over 1.5 goals) at 77% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 59%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Wrexham over 1.5 goals 77%
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 76%
Atalanta
3 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 75%
Genk
3 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon over 1.5 goals 72%
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 71%
Burnley
0 : 5 FT
Arsenal
Win 11%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 70%
Newcastle
2 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 70%
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 69%
Manchester City
1 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 67%
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 31%
Draw 20%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#10 League One Β· England Peterborough over 1.5 goals 65%
Peterborough
1 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals 65%
Panathinaikos
2 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha over 1.5 goals 64%
Al-Hazm
1 : 3 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 24%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Championship Β· England Preston over 1.5 goals 62%
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#14 League Two Β· England Crewe over 1.5 goals 62%
Crewe
0 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 League Two Β· England Barrow over 1.5 goals 62%
Salford City
5 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Championship Β· England Leicester over 1.5 goals 62%
Leicester
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 61%
Brentford
1 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp over 1.5 goals 60%
Antwerp
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 60%
Swindon Town
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 59%
Al-Nassr
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 17 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wrexham vs Notts County (Wrexham over 1.5 goals) at 77% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.