Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Sunday 21 January 2024
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
15 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 January 2024. Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals) led the list at 86% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals
86%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München over 1.5 goals
82%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals
78%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid over 1.5 goals
72%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK over 1.5 goals
70%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals
66%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals
65%
Championship Β· England
Leeds over 1.5 goals
65%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham over 1.5 goals
62%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax over 1.5 goals
60%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KRC Genk II over 1.5 goals
59%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals
59%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals
56%
La Liga Β· Spain
Girona over 1.5 goals
56%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 goals
56%
Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 21 January 2024?
15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals) at 86% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.