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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 21 January 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 21 January 2024. Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals) led the list at 86% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 86%
Fenerbahçe
1 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 82%
Bayern München
0 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 78%
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 7%
Draw 14%
Win 79%
Over 2.5 71%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 72%
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 70%
Volos NFC
1 : 5 FT
PAOK
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise over 1.5 goals 66%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals 65%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Championship Β· England Leeds over 1.5 goals 65%
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#9 Premier League Β· England West Ham over 1.5 goals 62%
Sheffield Utd
2 : 2 FT
West Ham
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 60%
Ajax
4 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium KRC Genk II over 1.5 goals 59%
Zulte Waregem
1 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos over 1.5 goals 59%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 56%
Hertha BSC
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Girona over 1.5 goals 56%
Girona
5 : 1 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 goals 56%
1. FC Magdeburg
1 : 0 FT
SV Wehen
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 15 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 21 January 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor (Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals) at 86% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.